There has been a decidedly northward shift in the track as well as the highest snow totals. If I was a betting man, which I am not, I would say that LI, NJ and points south will underperform with 3-6" when snow mixes with sleet and rain and the northern suburbs and lower hudson valley up to Albany will really get walloped with up to 2 feet. I really like following NsfwWx for their constant twitter forecast updates. Good discussion of snowfall totals, per hour snowfall rates and the atmospheric dynamics. Latest model runs for NAM and GFS.
NAM: 
GFS: 
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