Still on track, heaviest snows south of NYC

 System is still on track to bring some light accumulations to the NYC metro area after starting after midnight and tapering off around noon Tue . As we get closer, the model guidance will become more accurate as more data refines the upper air dynamics and thus the storm track.  Right now, Euro is more bullish for snow in the NY region with the GFS more suppressed south with higher totals for W. NY.

The 12z Euro has some accumulations in western NY, PA and S. Jersey. If this verifies would mean 1-2" for New York City (and New City, NY and Port Washington, NY) and 2-3" for Westfield, NJ

click map for link to pivotal weather link

GFS still more suppressed to the south with higher snow accumulation totals in Western NY and PA (6-8"). This would bring 1-2" for the city and W LI with 2-3" in New City, NY and Westfield, NJ but not nearly as much in central and S. Jersey.

At this point, I am more of a buyer of the shape of the accumulations in the GFS but I don't think there will be enough moisture to get anywhere near the 8 inches so I would map something that looks like the GFS with lower totals.